Monday, September 29, 2014

3 Big Stocks With Big Volume to Trade for Big Breakouts

DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- Professional traders running mutual funds and hedge funds don't just look at a stock's price moves; they also track big changes in volume activity. Often when above-average volume moves into an equity, it precedes a large spike in volatility.

Must Read: Sell These 5 Toxic Stocks Before the Next Drop

Major moves in volume can signal unusual activity, such as insider buying or selling -- or buying or selling by "superinvestors."

Unusual volume can also be a major signal that hedge funds and momentum traders are piling into a stock ahead of a catalyst. These types of traders like to get in well before a large spike, so it's always a smart move to monitor unusual volume. That said, remember to combine trend and price action with unusual volume. Put them all together to help you decipher the next big trend for any stock.

With that in mind, let's take a look at several stocks rising on unusual volume recently.

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Under Armour

Under Armour (UA), together with its subsidiaries, develops, markets and distributes branded performance apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women and youth primarily in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia and Latin America. This stock closed up 3.3% to $69.82 in Friday's trading session.

Friday's Volume: 4.50 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 2.43 million

Volume % Change: 79%

From a technical perspective, UA gapped up notably higher here back above its 50-day moving average of $68.49 with above-average volume. This trend to the upside on Friday also briefly pushed shares of UA into breakout territory, since the stock flirted with some near-term overhead resistance at $70.16. Market players should now look for a continuation trend higher in the short-term if UA manages to take out Friday's intraday high of $70.57 with strong volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in UA as long as it's trending above its 50-day moving average of $68.49 and then once it sustains a move or close above $70.57 with volume that hits near or above 2.43 million shares. If that move gets underway soon, then UA will set up to re-test or possibly take out its 52-week high at $73.42. Any high-volume move above that level will then give UA a chance to make a run at $80.

Must Read: Must-See Charts: 5 Big Stocks to Sidestep the Selloff

Micron Technology

Micron Technology (MU), together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets semiconductor solutions worldwide. This stock closed up 6.7% at $33.83 in Friday's trading session.

Friday's Volume: 53.97 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 24.24 million

Volume % Change: 137%

From a technical perspective, MU gapped up sharply higher here with strong upside volume flows. This large spike to the upside on Friday also pushed shares of MU into breakout territory, since this stock took out some key near-term overhead resistance levels at $32.55 to $33.41 and at $33.70. Shares of MU are now quickly moving within range of triggering another big breakout trade. That trade will hit if MU manages to clear some more key overhead resistance levels at $34.28 to its 52-week high at $34.85 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in MU as long as it's trending above Friday's intraday low of $33.41 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that this near or above 24.24 million shares. If that breakout develops soon, then MU will set up to enter new 52-week-high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that breakout are $38 to $40.

Must Read: How to Trade the Market's Most-Active Stocks

BlackBerry

BlackBerry (BBRY) provides wireless communications solutions worldwide. This stock closed up 4.6% at $10.26 in Friday's trading session.

Friday's Volume: 63.29 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 14.77 million

Volume % Change: 320%

From a technical perspective, BBRY ripped sharply higher here right above some near-term support at $9.50 and back above its 50-day moving average of $10.08 with monster upside volume flows. This sharp move to the upside on Friday is now quickly pushing shares of BBRY within range of triggering a big breakout trade. That trade will hit if BBRY manages to take out some near-term overhead resistance levels at $11 to $11.17 and then above its 52-week high at $11.65 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in BBRY as long as it's trending above Friday's intraday low of $9.66 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 14.77 million shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then BBRY will set up to enter new 52-week-high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that breakout are $12.18 to $14.

Must Read: 10 Stocks Billionaire John Paulson Loves in 2014

To see more stocks rising on unusual volume, check out the Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.


RELATED LINKS:



>>4 Stocks Under $10 Making Big Moves Higher



>>4 Big Tech Stocks on Traders' Radars



>>4 M&A Deal Stocks That Could Cut You a Paycheck This Fall

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At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including

CNBC.com and Forbes.com. You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.


Monday, September 22, 2014

For Sony, It's Not 'Game Over' -- Yet

Japan Sony Shizuo Kambayashi/APSony CEO Kazuo Hirai Investors will no longer be rewarded for holding on to shares of Sony (SNE). The Japanese consumer electronics titan is holding off on paying a dividend this fiscal year. It's the first time that Sony won't be declaring a dividend since going public in 1958. There's a lot of history in that time. The company that got its start in 1946 as an electronics shop in a department store building would go on to usher in an era in which Japan became known as an exporter of quality consumer electronics. From televisions to camcorders to video game systems, Sony either pioneered new trends or hopped on existing ones and raised the bar. Steve Jobs, Apple's (AAPL) visionary, credited Sony as having been his inspiration in his youth. This is the company that ushered in the era of portable media players with the Sony Walkman in 1979, following that up a couple of decades later by leading the development of the Blu-ray optical disc platform that gives video buffs a hi-def viewing experience. Sony was great. It's not doing so well these days. Getting It Wrong Sony has bet on the losing side before. Its Betamax platform faltered when the market favored VHS. Its memory stick solution never took off relative to SD cards in the realm of data storage. However, it has been able to overcome its past miscues by rocking nearly everywhere else. It's a different scene these days. Sony has posted losses in all but one year since 2008, and fiscal 2015 is shaping up to be another year of red ink. Sony just warned that it's looking at a loss of nearly $2.15 billion, fueled largely by an impairment charge as it writes down the value of its mobile communications unit. Smartphones were supposed to be the ticket for Sony to rejuvenate its fading electronics arm, but Sony's been no match for nimbler and more effective players outside Japan. This has been a rough year for Sony. It sold off its unprofitable PC unit and it spun off the horrific television business, which hasn't posted an annual profit in the past decade. Earlier this year it shuttered most of the Sony stores in this country. Why not? It's not as if Sony has a lot of consumer electronics to sell in a world where VAIO PCs are gone -- and its TV business will likely be sold off if it's not discontinued. Holding On to What It's Getting Right Things aren't all terrible at Sony. After falling behind the Wii and Xbox 360 in the previous generation of gaming consoles, PlayStation 4 is crushing Wii U and Xbox One. This may not seem like a big deal outside of die-hard gamers, but it could be a way for Sony to begin to rebuild its brand with young teens and millennials who don't necessarily associate the company with quality consumer electronics. Sony is also holding up well on the entertainment front. In its prime, Sony began to expand into movie studios and record labels. The music industry has been a challenging niche since folks began to swap MP3 files, but the video industry is benefiting from the digital revolution in which content creators can benefit beyond theatrical and retail physical media distribution. All of this may not be enough. Sony brought in a new CEO two years ago, choosing to go with cost-cutting insider Kazuo Hirai as its new helmsman. Losses continue despite his initiatives, but there's always the hope that he's making the hard decisions now to cut loose money-draining divisions. The layoffs and subsidiary trimming may not be helping morale, but there are enough parts that are still working to serve as a foundation. The challenge here is for Sony to stop the bleeding. A turnaround can't begin until losses turn into profits. We're not there yet, and Sony may never get there. . More from Rick Aristotle Munarriz
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Saturday, September 20, 2014

Culloden II: Invest in Scotland Stocks and ADRs? RBS, ABDNY & SSEZY

The poorly conceived Scottish Independence vote has failed – something that could be good news for Scottish stocks like Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc (NYSE: RBS), Aberdeen Asset Management (OTCMKTS: ABDNY) and SSE PLC (OTCMKTS: SSEZY) that have well traded ADRs on US exchanges. To begin with, its worth mentioning the work done by Paul Marsh of London Business School and Scott Evans of Walbrook Economics where they identified 100 purely Scottish stocks currently listed in London and compared this with a parallel 'Rest of the UK' index over the last 60 years. They found that £1 invested in the Scotsie 100 in 1955 would have grown to £648 today (with dividends reinvested), a 5.7% increase in real (inflation-adjusted) terms. However, £1 invested in the rest of the UK would have grown to £1,168, a 6.8% increase.

In addition and just before the Scottish Independence vote, Societe Generale said its basket of Scotland-exposed stocks had already underperformed the FTSE 100 by 8pc in the year-to-date, suggesting that "a risk premium is already emerging." They warned investors to stay away from the following Scotland exposed stocks (Note: Two of these stocks are actually French companies):

BAE Systems Lloyds Banking Group Royal Bank of Scotland Diageo Pernod Ricard J Sainsbury Tesco WM Morrison Standard Life British Sky BG Group Technip Hammerson Intu Properties Marks & Spencer Next Sage Group BT Group Centrica SSE

At the same time, they said the following stocks could benefit from a weaker pound:

BAE Systems Barclays HSBC Standard Chartered SABMiller Smiths Group Unilever Reckitt Benckiser Burberry Group WPP ARM Holdings British American Tobacco Experian

For American investors looking for Scotland ADRs, the Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc trades on the NYSE while Aberdeen Asset Management and SSE PLC have OTC listings. Here is what you need to know about all three:

Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc. Based in Edinburgh, Scotland, the Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc operates a wide variety of banking brands offering personal and business banking, private banking, insurance and corporate finance through its offices located in Europe, North America and Asia. In the UK and Ireland, the Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc's main subsidiary companies are The Royal Bank of Scotland, National Westminster Bank, Ulster Bank, Drummonds Bank and Coutts. Outside the UK, the Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc owns Citizens Financial Group, the 8th largest bank in the United States, and from 2004 to 2009 it was the second largest shareholder in the Bank of China. Its worth noting that the Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc has been serving customers in Scotland since 1727:

However and despite its long history in Scotland,the Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc had indicated it would move its Domicile to England or what was left of the UK as part of a contingency plan should a "Yes" vote pass, Since Scottish Independence failed to pass, that contingency plan is no longer in effect. On Thursday, Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc rose 1.55% to $11.76 (RBS has a 52 week trading range of $9.80 to $12.47 a share) for a market cap of $65.97 billion plus the stock is 4.4% since the start of the year, up 2.2% over the past year and down 36% over the past five years.

Aberdeen Asset Management. Based in Aberdeen, Scotland, Aberdeen Asset Management is a London listed global investment management group, managing assets for both institutional and retail clients from offices around the world. Aberdeen Asset Management manages pools of equities, fixed income, property and alternatives with most American investors probably being familiar with the various emerging market closed end funds the company has that are listed on the NYSE. In November 2013, Lloyds Banking Group sold the Scottish Widows Investment Partnership (SWIP) to Aberdeen Asset Management in a £660m deal that made the company the largest listed fund manager in Europe - managing £350 billion in assets. On Thursday, Aberdeen Asset Management rose 3.06% to $14.49 (ABDNY has a 52 week trading range of $11.32 to $17.05 a share) for a market cap of $9.24 billion plus the stock is down 12.08% since the start of the year and up 14.45% over the past year.

SSE PLC. Based in Perth, Scotland, and formerly known as Scottish and Southern Energy plc, SSE PLC is involved in the generation, transmission, distribution and supply of electricity, in the production, storage, distribution and supply of gas and in other energy services. SSE PLC has ownership interest in five economically-regulated energy network companies: Scottish Hydro Electric Transmission (100%); Scottish Hydro Electric Power Distribution (100%); Southern Electric Power Distribution (100%); Scotland Gas Networks (50%); and Southern Gas Networks (50%). However, SSE PLC operates beyond Scotland as its involved in electricity generation and electricity and gas supply in Great Britain; electricity generation and supply in the Single Electricity Market for the island of Ireland; gas supply in Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland; gas storage in Great Britain; and mechanical, electrical and utility contracting in the UK and Ireland. On Thursday, SSE PLC rose 1.82% to $25.11 (SSEZY has a 52 week trading range of $20.90 to $27.68 a share) for a market cap of $24.04 billion plus the stock is up 14% since the start of the year, down 0.44% over the past year and up 31.9% over the past five years.

Finally, here is a long term performance chart for all three Scottish ADRs:

As you can see from the above chart, Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc has been a loser for investors while the performance of Aberdeen Asset Management and SSE PLC have not been that exciting to warant the trouble of investing in ADRs listed on the OTC.

Monday, September 15, 2014

L.A.'s Sunset Strip Goes Corporate: Whisky a Gone Gone

Investors Announce More Plans to Develop the Sunset Strip, Demolish House of Blues Sunset and Hustler Hollywood Michael Tullberg/Getty Images Los Angeles County's fabled Sunset Strip -- home to numerous legendary nightclubs -- is going corporate. Goodbye, Rat Pack and Guns N' Roses; hello, Marriott International (MAR). Gangsters and Guitarists Through a quirk of urban planning, the Strip -- a 1.6-mile stretch of Sunset Boulevard -- was part of unincorporated land within Los Angeles city limits (these days, it belongs to the micro-city of West Hollywood). As such, it was overseen not by the L.A. Police Department, but by the more lax County Sheriff's department. Entrepreneurs took advantage of this, and in the early 20th century the Strip soon became the hottest entertainment destination in the L.A. area, home to clubs, bars and the occasional house of ill repute. In the 1940s and 1950s its nightclubs frequently hosted the top stars of the era. Many a band across the subsequent decades rose to prominence playing joints like The Roxy, Whisky A Go Go (still going strong at 50), and the Viper Room. Throughout the world, the Strip was nearly synonymous with nightlife. So much so that, according to some, its name was cribbed by the burgeoning city of Las Vegas to title the strategic section of its main thoroughfare. For many years now, the heart of Las Vegas Boulevard has been known simply as "The Strip." The City That Sometimes Sleeps The Strip is not the only game in town for visitors. Close by is the gay mecca of West Hollywood's "Boy's Town" neighborhood, while the tiny city's location in the kernel of L.A. makes it the perfect springboard for visiting Hollywood, L.A.'s beaches, and the neighboring Beverly Hills. Tourism is big business for West Hollywood. Twenty percent of the municipality's fiscal 2013 take came from the transient occupancy (i.e., lodging) taxes levied on those visitors. This brought in a cool $18 million that year -- 18 percent higher year over year, by the way -- making it WeHo's No. 2 revenue source. And there's more where that came from. Last year, West Hollywood hotels collectively had an occupancy rate of 82 percent, according to industry watcher STR. This is much higher than the 2013 national figure of 62 percent, as calculated by the American Hotel & Lodging Association -- indicating that there's plenty of room for growth. Here Come the Hoteliers So it's no surprise to learn that some big names in the sector are very interested in West Hollywood, and where better to build than its famous street? A host of hotel projects on the Strip are in various stages of development. Developer CIM Group has cleared a pair of parcels on either side of the intersection of busy La Cienega Boulevard and the Strip. One is to be home to the 286-room four-star James Los Angeles hotel, comprised of a pair of 10-story towers. The other parcel will be the site of residential buildings. Meanwhile, across the street from The Roxy, the sun will rise on an Edition Hotel, Marriott International's boutique brand. The company plans to construct an Edition boasting nearly 200 rooms, which should open in 2017. Marriott has partnered with industry veteran Ian Schrager on the Edition line. Schrager is a co-founder of Morgans Hotel Group (MHGC), and that company's flagship Southern California property is the Strip's Mondrian Hotel. The Last Encore? The wave of hotels threatens to obliterate the Strip's smaller businesses, which include some places that give the stretch its character and reputation. According to Bloomberg, a division of engineering company AECOM Technology (ACM) is aiming to build a complex on the eastern end of the Strip anchored by a 149-room hotel. At the moment, that land is occupied by the local iteration of Live Nation's (LYV) House of Blues concert hall chain. According to a spokesman for the club, it is finding a new location. The building itself will probably suffer the fate of the Strip's first theater, the nearly 50-year old Tiffany. That venue was razed by CIM Group last year to make way for its La Cienega project. That seems to be the trajectory of the neighborhood -- fun stuff out, lodgings in. Across the street from Whisky A Go Go lies the Hustler Store, the main retail outlet of the notorious porn empire. Like House of Blues, it's packing up and moving elsewhere. In the Bloomberg article, a West Hollywood Community Development Department official speculated on what the future of the building could be. It might, he mused, be torn down to be replaced by -- yep -- a new hotel project. More from Eric Volkman
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Thursday, September 11, 2014

Wholesale Inventories Post Smallest Gain in a Year

Wholesale Trade LM Otero/AP WASHINGTON -- U.S. wholesale inventories barely rose in July, suggesting a slower pace of stock accumulation at the start of the third quarter that prompted economists to trim growth estimates. The Commerce Department said Wednesday wholesale inventories edged up 0.1 percent, the smallest rise since July of last year, after a 0.2 percent gain in June. Inventories are a key component of gross domestic product changes. The component that goes into the calculation of GDP -- wholesale stocks excluding autos -- was flat. The rise in overall stocks at wholesalers in July was well below the 0.5 percent increase that Wall Street had anticipated, leading some economists to lower their GDP growth estimates for the July-September quarter. Barclays cut its third-quarter growth estimate by two-tenths of a percentage point to a 2.5 percent annual rate. Action Economics lowered its forecast to a 2.8 percent pace from 3 percent. A report last week showed stocks of manufactured goods at factories rose only 0.1 percent in July. Retail inventory data for July, due to be released Friday, will shed more light on the state of restocking early in the third quarter. Inventories added 1.4 percentage points to GDP growth in the second quarter. The slow pace of inventory accumulation, however, bodes well for fourth-quarter growth. "While there is very little information about fourth-quarter growth available at this point, a more modest inventory accumulation in the third quarter is a positive development for fourth-quarter GDP, all else equal," said Daniel Silver, an economist at JPMorgan (JPM) in New York. Wholesale inventories in July were held back by declines in stocks of farm products, chemicals, furniture, professional equipment, petroleum, paper and metals. Auto inventories increased 1 percent in July after declining 0.2 percent in June. Sales at wholesalers rose 0.7 percent in July after climbing 0.4 percent in June. At July's sales pace it would take 1.16 months to clear shelves, the lowest since December 2013 and down from 1.17 months in June.